Bitcoin Price Prediction: Analyst Forecasts Stunning $330K Peak

Are you wondering what the future holds for Bitcoin’s price? A recent Bitcoin price prediction from analyst Sminston With offers a bold outlook, suggesting a potential peak significantly higher than current levels before the end of 2025. This analysis uses a unique model to forecast where the next BTC price peak might land.

What is This Bitcoin Price Prediction Based On?

Bitcoin analyst Sminston With recently shared insights based on a 365-day simple moving average (SMA) combined with a power law model. This model, which boasts a high R² value of 0.96, suggests that Bitcoin’s price movements follow a predictable, non-random path over time. Unlike exponential growth models often applied to traditional assets, the power law model accounts for Bitcoin’s unique market cycles.

According to this analysis, Bitcoin’s 365-day SMA typically reaches a peak 2 to 3 times above the power law trendline during each market cycle. With Bitcoin recently trading around the $110,000 mark, this model projects a potential cycle top ranging from $220,000 to $330,000. This forecast aligns with historical patterns where Bitcoin has consistently overshot this trendline during bullish phases.

Is Bitcoin’s Volatility Softening? The Power Law Model Says No

A common narrative suggests that as Bitcoin matures, its price volatility should decrease. However, the analysis using the power law model challenges this belief. The model indicates that Bitcoin’s price deviation from the power law fit shows consistent cyclical volatility, with sustained peaks exhibiting no signs of exponential decay.

This suggests that significant price swings remain a defining characteristic of the cryptocurrency market. The analyst’s previous work accurately predicted Bitcoin reaching a six-figure price by January 2025 when BTC was trading around $60,000, lending some credibility to their methodology, although the analyst himself advises caution.

What Are Long-Term Holders Doing?

While the model presents an optimistic long-term outlook, recent on-chain data from Glassnode provides a potential short-term warning sign. Long-term holders (LTHs) have moved over $4 billion in BTC recently. This represents the largest spending volume from the 1-to-5-year cohorts since February 2025, driven primarily by the 3-to-5-year group.

Historically, increased spending volume by Long-term holders can coincide with price peaks, suggesting profit-taking behavior. With Bitcoin currently facing resistance around the $110,000 level, this movement could signal potential selling pressure. However, it’s important to note that total BTC held on exchanges continues to decline, which can be a bullish indicator.

What Does Technical Analysis Suggest?

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin has demonstrated a pattern of setting higher highs and higher lows since its bottom at $74,500. Following each new high, BTC has tended to consolidate in a sideways range before attempting the next breakout. The current price action appears to mirror this pattern, with recent lows holding at previous local highs.

However, some analysts point to potential signs of a deeper correction. Anonymous crypto trader TXMC noted that Bitcoin has recently completed its seventh consecutive green weekly candle. Based on historical data, streaks of seven to eight green weeks have typically been followed by pullbacks or consolidation periods since 2013. This observation adds another layer to the complex picture facing the current Bitcoin market.

Conclusion: Navigating the Path to the Next BTC Price Peak

While a Bitcoin analyst forecasts a stunning $220K to $330K BTC price peak based on a unique power law model, it’s crucial to consider all market signals. The model suggests significant upside potential and continued volatility, challenging notions of softening price swings. Simultaneously, data on Long-term holders indicates potential selling pressure, and technical analysis points to historical patterns that could precede a correction. As always, the cryptocurrency market remains dynamic, and investors should conduct thorough research and exercise caution.